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September 24, 2007

Greenspan: Saddam Was "Far More Important To Get Out Than Bin Laden"

It's gone almost completely unnoticed that when Alan Greenspan appeared on the Charlie Rose Show last week, he announced that Saddam Hussein was "far more important to get out than bin Laden." (Video here, transcript below.) Nice to learn how the people at the pinnacle of US power are actually thinking as they make our decisions for us.

There's lots of other good stuff too:

• Greenspan spends several minutes shucking and jiving about what he said in his book about Iraq and oil. As you read the Charlie Rose transcript below this, keep in mind while Greenspan bloviates about how this is just MY opinion on what the motivation SHOULD have been, and the Bush administration itself was completely sincere, and people now are getting a caricature of my views! what precisely it is he wrote:

Whatever their publicised angst over Saddam Hussain's "weapons of mass destruction," American and British authorities were also concerned about violence in the area that harbours a resource indispensable for the functioning of the world economy. I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.

Note also what he said in a Guardian interview conducted before the book was published: "I thought the issue of weapons of mass destruction as the excuse was utterly beside the point."

• When Rose suggests Saddam being an "evil tyrant" as a possible rationale for war, Greenspan doesn't even bother to give it a nod. Completely irrelevant. I suspect that, in private, exactly the same deep moral fervor is felt by the Bush administration.

• Greenspan explains how, if Saddam had remained in power, this that and the other thing might have happened, eventually, that would have had "catastrophic effects in the industrial world." It would be an enjoyable experience to witness him wander the streets of Baghdad making this case for war. "Oh no!," I imagine Iraqis saying, "Not a highly speculative, unknown possibility of economic damage at some future date to the world's richest countries! Thank god you got here in time!"

• Greenspan tell us this is "a fascinating problem about the issue of the morality and the whole concept of preventive wars." I understand that's the way Iraqis see this too—as a "fascinating problem."

Greenspan also explains he's "conflicted by this issue. I don't know how I would come out. I can see the arguments on both sides." Here it's useful to again look back at the pre-publication Guardian interview, where he said, "From a rational point of view, I cannot understand why we don't name what is evident and indeed a wholly defensible pre-emptive position." Wow, he's really on the fence on this one.

Alan Greenspan: Celebrating 81 Years of Mumbly Hackdom.

• • •

CHARLIE ROSE: You said in respect to the Iraqi war, it was about oil.

ALAN GREENSPAN: In my judgment.

CHARLIE ROSE: In your judgment.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Yes.

CHARLIE ROSE: Tell us exactly what you meant it was about oil. Because when you said that, every liberal, progressive, left blogger in the world said a-ha!, Alan Greenspan has finally told the truth. The war was about oil. He's our guy.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Let`s put it this way. It is about -- it is about...

CHARLIE ROSE: MoveOn.org has found a new hero. It's Alan Greenspan.

ALAN GREENSPAN: They weren`t listening closely. No, more exactly, in the passage I put that in, I go by it a little too fast. I erroneously thought it was relatively self-evident, and it wasn't.

I was not saying that the administration did not believe that there were weapons of mass destruction, and that was the motive for going to war. I have every reason to believe that that is, in fact, the case. They were wrong, obviously, but that was the motive.

I was raising a different issue. To me, I always thought it was very important that Saddam Hussein be deposed.

CHARLIE ROSE: But not because he was an evil tyrant, but because of what he could do with the oil weapon.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Absolutely. The problem basically was that if you looked at his history, he was clearly gravitating towards gaining control of all Middle East oil, specifically by finding a way to bottle up the Straits of Hormuz.

CHARLIE ROSE: But he had already been defeated in that effort. That is what the '91 war was about. He goes into Kuwait, and he talks about or he thinks or it was projected on him that he wanted to go to Saudi Arabia. In that case, you know, game over.

ALAN GREENSPAN: And he kept coming back and coming back and coming back. I mean, remember that there was no evidence, as far as I could see, that having been defeated in the first Gulf War...

CHARLIE ROSE: That he gave up ambition.

ALAN GREENSPAN: ... that he gave up ambition. And the critical issue was I always suspected or thought fairly inevitable that he would be able to get one of the Soviet nuclear weapons, which I had said it's inconceivable to me that during the chaos of the immediate fall of the Berlin Wall that they could protect all of those weapons.

CHARLIE ROSE: We believe they have.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Absolutely -- it looks to me as though they have, because if they hadn't, somebody would have detonated one of those things - - some terrorist...

CHARLIE ROSE: Somebody would have sold it to somebody for a lot of money.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Yes. So that it always -- it was always my impression that he had, obviously a huge amount of cash. And that he would get a nuclear weapon, threaten all of his neighbors, blockade or control the Straits of Hormuz, and essentially blackmail the industrialized world.

People do not realize in this country, for example, how tenuous our ties to international energy are. That is, we on a daily basis require continuous flow. If that flow is shut off, it causes catastrophic effects in the industrial world. And it's that which made him far more important to get out than bin Laden. And whether we did it by any non-military or non...

CHARLIE ROSE: What people would now question in terms of your judgment about that is whether he was that threat, in fact, at the time, and whether he could have been contained. And whether we lost when we had so much a reserve of goodwill, we would have been better off focusing on bin Laden.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Well, I grant that it`s a disputable issue. And I am not convinced I`m right on this. And I don't think the evidence is fully on my side.

But knowing how tenuous the problem is, it is very important for the national security of this country and the economic security, as well as all of our major trading partners, that the international oil system remain secure.

CHARLIE ROSE: Either that or find an alternative.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Or -- exactly. And I'm arguing in the book that we better start finding alternatives. Because we are not going to be able to maintain this.

CHARLIE ROSE: But you have been at the highest level of government for a long time.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Yes.

CHARLIE ROSE: In various -- in and out of the White House, economic adviser, chairman of the Federal Reserve. I mean, you have had -- you have been a voice that people wanted to at least -- even if it weren`t in your jurisdiction, they respected your judgment. And you seem to be saying that if this country doesn`t understand that its economic security depends on having an access to fossil fuel and to oil, we`re going to be in huge trouble. Unless we do that. And therefore at every turn, every president of the United States has to think about do I have a guaranteed source of oil.

ALAN GREENSPAN: You are never going to get a guaranteed source. But you have got to have a source which is sufficiently reliable or several sufficiently reliable sources so that if one goes out, you can continue to maintain the system.

CHARLIE ROSE: And if I have to knock off some dictator to get that source, that's OK.

ALAN GREENSPAN: Well, that raises a fascinating problem about the issue of the morality and the whole concept of preventive wars.

CHARLIE ROSE: And you say?

ALAN GREENSPAN: And I say I am conflicted by this issue. I don't know how I would come out. I can see the arguments on both sides.

Posted at September 24, 2007 08:04 AM | TrackBack
Comments

And he kept coming back and coming back and coming back.

I guess "coming back" means "continuing to draw air into his lungs while maintaining an uninterrupted heartbeat" in this case. Or perhaps "refusing to spend his days in a fetal position whimpering in the corner".

Because it's really hard to see how he made any sort of comeback in any of the traditional senses of the word.

Oh, wait - "there was no evidence that he gave up ambition". Still thinking those subversive thoughts, eh, Saddam? I hate it when a peon doesn't recognize the abject futility of life under Uncle Sam's bootheel and continues to struggle. Makes the whole exercise seem rather inelegant. Tsk tsk.

Posted by: Thomas Foolery at September 24, 2007 09:35 AM

Hmm. Saddam refuses to sell oil to the west? Unlikely.

Saddam, as head of his country, has more control of the oil and Big Oil has less control? More likely.

We're not talking about some ghastly shutdown of the flow of oil to America. In fact, a couple of decades of sanctions and wars has done a damned good job of shutting down oil from Iraq. No, we're talking about Big Oil, the Oil Party, the Boodle Boys, BushCo, the merged CIA/EXXON cabal, who wanted Saddam out not because he wouldn't sell oil, but because he would. That would drive down profits.

So all the maiming and killing, all the wasted money, all ethnic cleansing, the destruction of law and Constitutional rights, all of that has been done in the name of profits.

As Leonard Cohen once sang, "I have seen the future. It is murder."

Posted by: Bob In Pacifica at September 24, 2007 09:54 AM

For Greenspan it is all about maintaining the system which translates into English as it is all about us, me, me, me. No one else matters but the ruling class and the American way. Exactly why we are so crucial to the world escapes me at the moment. Like most Americans all I need is my bananas and a tree to sit in.

Posted by: rob payne at September 24, 2007 11:29 AM

The central banker's position and influence in our society. Discuss. No really, please -- I'd like to hear how important Greenspan was or wasn't in driving the US foreign policy, both in the Clinton and Bush administrations. Then he explains how securing resources through war helps globalization and free trade flourish.

For the world, I can't think of either Bush or Bubba as authors of the free-trade, globalization meme. In this week's Meet The Press, Greenspan goes on about his concern that the globalization backlash would do the opposite of what's good (in Alan Greenspan's view).

MR. RUSSERT: You also said this: “The Bill Clinton administration was a pretty centrist party. But they’re not governing again. The next administration may have the Clinton administration name but the Democratic Party has moved very significantly in the wrong direction.” Hillary Clinton’s party is not Bill Clinton’s party?

MR. GREENSPAN: All I can say is that they’re taking positions which he, as president, veered away from.

MR. RUSSERT: Such as?

MR. GREENSPAN: Whole area of trade, for example, which is a very critical issue because it’s not only the issue of trade, it refers to the globalization and how one views what is the driving force in this world which creates prosperity. [ ... later ]

MR. GREENSPAN: I was expressing my view. Saddam Hussein was obviously seeking to get a chokehold on the Straits of Hormuz, where about 18 million barrels a day flow from the Middle East to the industrial world. Had he been able to get ahold of a nuclear weapon and indeed move through Kuwait and into Saudi Arabia and control the Straits of Hormuz, it would’ve caused chaos.

(End videotape)

MR. RUSSERT: What evidence was there that Saddam Hussein had acquired or was trying to acquire a nuclear weapon, or was trying to get a chokehold on the Straits of Hormuz?

MR. GREENSPAN: There was no evidence he had a nuclear weapon because, my judgment is, he would’ve expressed that he had it and that would’ve created a real problem. You have to watch that man over 30 years. First of all, let me just say that it’s very clear, if there were no oil under the sands of Iraq, he would never have gotten the wherewithal, the resources to effectively threaten his neighbors and essentially potentially threaten the rest of the world through a global shortage of oil, which he could’ve done. The evidence I have is I watched him, one, come up against Iran but moving on Kuwait, threatening Saudi Arabia. And what his actions, as I observed them year after year, conclude, led me to conclude, he was clearly trying to get control of Middle East oil. Now, the thought of him in control of Middle East oil and then, with his resources, being able to buy a nuclear device, I found scary. And, indeed, having him out of power was critical to me. Whether he was deposed by internal means or by war or anything was less important to me than he left.

Posted by: Ted at September 24, 2007 11:40 AM

Well, that raises a fascinating problem about the issue of the morality and the whole concept of preventive wars.

dear(not really) Mr Greenspan

it's not a problem. it's fucking illegal as hell, and in no way, shape, form, general direction or through quantum fucking entaglement is it moral.

and to think you were chairman of the goddamned fed. no wonder we are all screwed right now.

Posted by: almostinfamous at September 24, 2007 01:02 PM

Excellent debate between Greenspan and Naomi Klein on today's Democracy Now here

Klein's new book The Shock Doctrine goes a long way to explaining the motivations for the Iraq war, IMO.

It wasn't just about oil, but about forcing an entirely new free-market economic model on the Iraqi people, just as the same model was forced on the Chilean people under Pinochet. Bremer's initial "reform" orders weren't just about "liberalizing" the Iraqi oil industry, but about shutting down all government-owned industry, cutting taxes, opening Iraq up to foreign investment and ownrship, etc.

The advocates of the Iraq war thought all this would be a great success, and Iraq would become a model of free-market capitalism that would revolutionize the Middle East.

My own take on this is that Rumsfeld and Cheney, as former CEO's, looked at Iraq as an underperforming company, that, under new management, could be made much more efficient and profitable for everyone, and especially for themselves.

Posted by: SteveB at September 24, 2007 03:59 PM

Right now the best thing that could happen to allen greenspan would be, during their next bout of mutual oral sexual delectation, Ms. Mitchell's uterus would collapse and smother him.
But mebbe that's just me...

Posted by: konopelli/wgg at September 24, 2007 05:12 PM

In the mid-nineties German banker Hermann Ab (I believe his name was) passed away and there was a glowing obit in the NYTimes. There was even a quote from David Rockefeller calling him the "most important banker of our time." Something like that. Ab was the head of Hitler's Deutsche Bank during WWII, when Germany invaded Europe and essentially looted national treasuries. Much of West Germany's post-war success came from all that they stole.

Also on his resume: Ab sat on the board of IG Farben and was in on the discussion the day that they decided on the location of Auschwitz. What many people don't remember is that the camp provided slave labor to nearby factories.

A great banker. Just like David Rockefeller. Just like Greenspan.

Posted by: Bob In Pacifica at September 24, 2007 05:25 PM

In the mid-nineties German banker Hermann Ab (I believe his name was) passed away and there was a glowing obit in the NYTimes. There was even a quote from David Rockefeller calling him the "most important banker of our time." Something like that. Ab was the head of Hitler's Deutsche Bank during WWII, when Germany invaded Europe and essentially looted national treasuries. Much of West Germany's post-war success came from all that they stole.

Also on his resume: Ab sat on the board of IG Farben and was in on the discussion the day that they decided on the location of Auschwitz. What many people don't remember is that the camp provided slave labor to nearby factories.

A great banker. Just like David Rockefeller. Just like Greenspan.

Posted by: Bob In Pacifica at September 24, 2007 05:25 PM

Are you allowed to assert on this site, tagged onto the Rob Payne declaration," No one else matters but the ruling class and the American way"
"the American way also as an adjunct to Israeli
hegemony over the Middle East?" Greenspan whether a "lite Zionist" or further right is thusly motivated.

Posted by: Ken Hoop at September 24, 2007 05:53 PM

Re: SteveB

This "Emerald City" article by Rajiv Chandrasekaran from last year describes the scene:

But many CPA staff members were more interested in other things: in instituting a flat tax, in selling off government assets, in ending food rations and otherwise fashioning a new nation that looked a lot like the United States. Many of them spent their days cloistered in the Green Zone, a walled-off enclave in central Baghdad with towering palms, posh villas, well-stocked bars and resort-size swimming pools.

There are many choice bits including this "Not in spite of, but because.":
To recruit the people he wanted, O'Beirne sought résumés from the offices of Republican congressmen, conservative think tanks and GOP activists. He discarded applications from those his staff deemed ideologically suspect, even if the applicants possessed Arabic language skills or postwar rebuilding experience. Smith said O'Beirne once pointed to a young man's résumé and pronounced him "an ideal candidate." His chief qualification was that he had worked for the Republican Party in Florida during the presidential election recount in 2000.

And my favorite:
As more and more of O'Beirne's hires arrived in the Green Zone, the CPA's headquarters in Hussein's marble-walled former Republican Palace felt like a campaign war room. Bumper stickers and mouse pads praising President Bush were standard desk decorations. In addition to military uniforms and "Operation Iraqi Freedom" garb, "Bush-Cheney 2004" T-shirts were among the most common pieces of clothing.

As one staffer explained, "I'm not here for the Iraqis. I'm here for George Bush."

Posted by: racrecir at September 24, 2007 09:34 PM

Greenspan obviously has a different take on recent Middle East history than the rest of us. There was no way Saddam could have done anything to get a 'chokehold' on the Straits of Hormuz. First up he didn't have much of a navy, secondly most of his airforce was pretty useless being as it was being constantly watched in case it entered the no-fly zones and because it suffered major shortages of spare parts due of the sanctions regime, thirdly both Saudi Arabia and Iran (not to mention the American presence) have extensive air defence systems and wouldn't have let him affect their own oil movements. Also on the subject of Saudi, instead of being 'threatened' as Greenspan contends, in fact they had a non-aggression pact with Iraq. So where does he get this stuff from? It can only be coming from thin air or from highly biased briefings.

Posted by: Simon at September 25, 2007 03:33 AM

I would like to have seen somebody ask Greenie about

a) To what extent did Saddam's pricing of oil in Euros affect both the U.S. dollar and CheneyCo's brilliant decision to launch the Blitzkrieg to Baghdad?

b) Since you're a staunch free marketeer, why didn't you let the stock market's "irrational exuberance" run its free market course? And why the hell would you raise general interest rates instead of margin rates? You weren't trying to affect an election, were you?

It would have been interesting to watch an old white guy break both ankles trying to tap dance his way around the answers.

Posted by: cavjam at September 25, 2007 08:54 AM
Are you allowed to assert on this site, tagged onto the Rob Payne declaration," No one else matters but the ruling class and the American way" "the American way also as an adjunct to Israeli hegemony over the Middle East?" Greenspan whether a "lite Zionist" or further right is thusly motivated.

Sounds like someone needs to catch up on his Mort Zuckerman. I'm loath to link HuffPost, but it is the neu mainstream, no?

Posted by: Ted at September 25, 2007 04:25 PM
CHARLIE ROSE: And you say?

ALAN GREENSPAN: And I say I am conflicted by this issue. I don't know how I would come out. I can see the arguments on both sides.

THIS SIDE
global warming risk lowered
peak oil vulnerability lowered
resource wars averted through tech development
restoration of land and oceans
lots of money for things people want done

THAT SIDE
dead people

Posted by: hapa at September 26, 2007 02:01 AM