You may only read this site if you've purchased Our Kampf from Amazon or Powell's or me
• • •
"Mike and Jon, Jon and Mike—I've known them both for years, and, clearly, one of them is very funny. As for the other: truly one of the great hangers-on of our time."—Steve Bodow, head writer, The Daily Show

"Who can really judge what's funny? If humor is a subjective medium, then can there be something that is really and truly hilarious? Me. This book."—Daniel Handler, author, Adverbs, and personal representative of Lemony Snicket

"The good news: I thought Our Kampf was consistently hilarious. The bad news: I’m the guy who wrote Monkeybone."—Sam Hamm, screenwriter, Batman, Batman Returns, and Homecoming

April 16, 2008

New TomDispatch

link

The End of the World as You Know It
…and the Rise of the New Energy World Order

By Michael T. Klare

Oil at $110 a barrel. Gasoline at $3.35 (or more) per gallon. Diesel fuel at $4 per gallon. Independent truckers forced off the road. Home heating oil rising to unconscionable price levels. Jet fuel so expensive that three low-cost airlines stopped flying in the past few weeks. This is just a taste of the latest energy news, signaling a profound change in how all of us, in this country and around the world, are going to live -- trends that, so far as anyone can predict, will only become more pronounced as energy supplies dwindle and the global struggle over their allocation intensifies.

Energy of all sorts was once hugely abundant, making possible the worldwide economic expansion of the past six decades. This expansion benefited the United States above all -- along with its "First World" allies in Europe and the Pacific. Recently, however, a select group of former "Third World" countries -- China and India in particular -- have sought to participate in this energy bonanza by industrializing their economies and selling a wide range of goods to international markets. This, in turn, has led to an unprecedented spurt in global energy consumption -- a 47% rise in the past 20 years alone, according to the U.S. Department of Energy (DoE).

An increase of this sort would not be a matter of deep anxiety if the world's primary energy suppliers were capable of producing the needed additional fuels. Instead, we face a frightening reality: a marked slowdown in the expansion of global energy supplies just as demand rises precipitously...

Here, in a nutshell, are five key forces in this new world order which will change our planet:

The rest.

—Jonathan Schwarz

Posted at April 16, 2008 11:00 AM
Comments

Jet fuel so expensive that three low-cost airlines stopped flying in the past few weeks

Hoo-fucking-rah!

Posted by: Mike at April 16, 2008 11:48 AM

Russia, Iran & Qatar 'own' 55% of all the Natural gas reserves in the world.

Hmmmmm...and the USofA is pondering war with one of 'em already (Iran), Qatar being already within the ambit of USAer 'influence.' and Russia holding a nuclear stockpile that rivals our own...

things would appear to be looking a little grimmer for Israel, too.

Posted by: konopelli/wgg at April 16, 2008 12:09 PM

Hey, where's that guy with the firecracker, the one who's so much smarter than the rest of us? You know the guy I mean??? I sure would like to know what he thinks of us right now, worrying over Klare's musings. I mean, I hope he's thinking of us. Hey, mxyzptlk, wipe the spunk off yer palm and post awready!!

Posted by: Slag at April 16, 2008 01:00 PM

I'll disagree with his idea that this necessitates a transfer of wealth and power to oil-rich countries. In fact the US has been in energy deficit for a long, long time, so there's nothing special about the current climate. It's true that oil is now 10X more expensive than it was in the 1990s, but that only represents a fraction of US GDP - the US can still come out well ahead if its other economic assets (e.g., high tech weaponry) are worth more than oil. If I can always sell you enough missiles to soak up your extra oil money, it doesn't matter that you're making 10X more money now. A good analogy might be cocaine - it doesn't matter how much money you make, you can always blow it all on coke. So, yes, there will obviously be a shift in wealth (at least temporarily until conservation reduces demand for oil), but it doesn't imply a tectonic shift in power balance.

Posted by: saurabh at April 16, 2008 01:07 PM

Slag: I think YOU mean Stubby. Hell of a womanizer, and as revolting a revolutionary as any can be found, I'll wager. He never answered a question that I had asked him, I admire that in revolting people, don't YOU? Last I heard he was banging some Russkie chicks and then??? Don't know if these women were married or not, he didn't seem the type to care and ALL it takes is one pissed off husband----WE've all been there I know. I'd had asked him, since he was headed to Moscow anyway, to tell Putin to call Nancy Pelosi @ 1-202-225-0100 and DEMAND IMPEACHMENT. And I tell ya, good ole Z is just crazy enough to pull it off and Putin called. If not, he's in the basement of Lubyanka and likely to be tied up for a while.

Posted by: Mike Meyer at April 16, 2008 10:40 PM
So, yes, there will obviously be a shift in wealth (at least temporarily until conservation reduces demand for oil), but it doesn't imply a tectonic shift in power balance.

I tend to disagree mildly.

We've seem a focus on globalizing wealth and money transactions. Example of this is the focus on depriving "the terrorists" of access to cash. This may be over in Israel where they just take over the bank accounts of people they suspect, prosecuting people here that may or may not have supported an organization that the gov belatedly places on a list, by suing them into bankruptcy, or through generic government sanctions and monitoring them.

I see the focus on wealth based geopolitics (impoverishing someone into oblivion) as being a double edged sword, particularly if the US is exposed by having their currency devalued to such an extent that it eats into any long term stability that it has. Likewise, although the rich have been helped by the globalization by creating their own supra-geo enclaves, the average person is stuck to their debts and obligations like flypaper (Today's news item: Americans will be vacationing at home.)

A temporary shift in wealth is enough to make the US a hobbled wildebeest that gets et up by the lion, particularly since we've taught everyone that positions of advantage should be exploited aggressively in the interests of, well, self-interest.

Nukes? Only compelling if you're the only one to have them.

A good analogy might be cocaine - it doesn't matter how much money you make, you can always blow it all on coke.

Sure, but that's really more of an indication of lack of discipline, confidence, low self-esteem and a posse of miscreants taking advantage. I just can't see someone uber-wealthy going through that much coke. They can buy it, but they'd drop dead long before they personally consumed it all.

Posted by: angryman@24:10 at April 17, 2008 09:14 AM

A temporary shift in wealth is enough to make the US a hobbled wildebeest that gets et up by the lion, particularly since we've taught everyone that positions of advantage should be exploited aggressively in the interests of, well, self-interest.

The wealth differential is enormous. Yesterday I watched a YouTube video of a pride of lions trying to take down an elephant. It was around eight on one, but the effect was fairly comical - lions clinging desperately to the elephant like squirrels, trying to do some damage, while the elephant basically shrugged them off.

The US has weathered long periods of economic stagnation before and remained on top, just because it has enough wealth and developed industry to matter that much. Our economy is simply too large for it to be hobbled by any bit players - even a pack of them at once.

Posted by: saurabh at April 17, 2008 11:31 AM